According to the Farmers Almanac winter weather forecast for Arizona, the 2022-2023 winter season will be a milder affair this year though drier than average, too. When Does It End? The International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded 4.13" which ranks as the 52nd driest Summer on record. On the precipitation side, the forecast leaned toward below normal at a 45% chance. Our forecasts are not direct predictions of rain/snow. The exception is the summer thunderstorm season where the forecast for precipitation is a 36% chance that they will be above normal and a 31% chance that they will end up below normal. With record to near-record heat blistering Colorado on Monday, you might think the smoke in the air is from a Colorado wildfire. Please try another search. A first look at Winter 2022/2023 forecast shows an obvious influence of the third-year La Nina phase. The second Pacific storm of the month moved across the area on the 12th bringing with it widespread valley rain and mountain snow. No matter which part of Arizona youre from (or plan to visit), winter is a great time to arrive. WARNING: Long-range forecasts are rarely accurate. NWS Tucson Arizona520 North Park Ave, Suite 304Tucson, AZ 85719(520) 670-6526Comments? This has also occurred in August 1963 & February 1905. Apr. While there were no companion predictions for central and southern Arizona, Geiger said the cold from the north will likely permeate the south, making it comparatively cold for the states lower deserts. The La Nia weather phenomenon is expected to extend through winter for the third year in a row, bringing below-average rain and snow and above-average temperatures. 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec December Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun 1 +68 +59 2 +68 +55 3 +61 +59 4 +64 +61 5 +66 +55 6 +66 +52 7 +64 Rainfall amounts across the metro area, using several sources like rainlog.org, the Pima County Regional Flood Control District gages and CoCoRaHS, ranged widely across the metro area from 0.50" to 3" with localized totals up to 3.75". The average yearly temperature of 56.8 is six-tenths of a degree BELOW normal and ranks as the 27th warmest on record through the end of March. Dry with above normal high temperatures from the 5th to the 11th with highs in the mid-60's to the lower 70's. But if it weakens, that could spell a colder winter for some. Areas south of the storm track (much of the Southeast) will see frequent storms bringing cold rains and a wintry mix . Two were for record highs and three were for record warm low temperatures and all of them occurred in December. That's more in line with what's typically expected in La Nia winters. So, what about this month? Five record high minimum (low) temperatures were set or tied during the month. National Weather Service The number could've been higher as there were eight days that recorded a high of 99. On social media:Find us on Facebook, Twitter, Instagram and YouTube. Much of the nation's midsection, including the Mississippi Valley, northern Gulf Coast, Florida and the West Coast, should be near or slightly warmer than average in December. Our outlook has the highest confidence of a cold February in the Northern Plains and upper Midwest. We start off the new year here with the January 2022 forecast. Combined with last years August average temperature being 1.2 below normal, this is the first back-to-back Augusts since 2005-06 to be below normal. However, this ingredient in the forecast cannot be predicted until winter is in progress. The seasonal average dew point value was 19. December climate data across southeast Arizona, Winter climate data across southeast Arizona. Best for planning. We are going to show you their forecast for the upcoming winter, but first, a warning. Even as we swelter through the last stretch of summer's "dog days," the upcoming winter outlooks for the 2022-2023 season from the Farmers' Almanac and The Old Farmer's Almanac are enough to send shivers down one's spine. You also get the member section, which has controllable models like rain, wind, snow, in high resolution along with a GPS feature which is updated when an event is in the area No blocking means that we will continue to get the colder air out of the west in both regions of Southern California and Arizona, but it also means much drier conditions. This ties the monthly record previously set in 2017. With that being said, the colder than normal temperatures are already being felt in both regions. The last year in which Tucson waited until April to set/tied a record temperature was back in 2010. One daily temperature record was set. In winter 2020-21, the polar vortex weakened, and even though La Nia was in place, a major cold outbreak contributed to the 19th-coldest February on record in the Lower 48. For more detailed information, click the link below. Weather Today Weather Hourly 14 Day Forecast Yesterday/Past Weather Climate (Averages) Currently: 36 F. IsArizonaa good place to visit in the winter? We start off the new year here with the January 2022 forecast. Avg Low Temps 35 to 50 Avg High Temps 15 to 25 Avg Low Temps 0 to 10 Rain Frequency 1 to 3 days Click or Tap on any day for a detailed forecast. Click on the images below for larger view. Monsoon 2022 ended up warmer than normal with an average season temperature of 87.2 which is nine-tenths of a degree above normal. The yearly rainfall total of 6.14" at the Tucson International airport, the official location in Tucson, ranks as the 10th driest January through November period on record. WeatherTAB helps you plan activities on days with the least risk of rain. The forecast for precipitation is a 33% chance that they will be above normal and a 33% chance that they will end up below normal. She attended college in the Houston area and changed her major twice (psychology, computer science, and finally criminal justice) before taking a leap of faith and dropping out to pursue a career in freelance writing. Click on hotel for more details. It's the 13th April with ZERO rainfall. La Nia conditions can have varying effects on weather patterns around the world. Here are some of the monthly temperature highlights during 2022: A total of sixteen daily record temperatures were set or tied during 2022. According to the CPC, there is a tendency for back-to-back La Nia winters which increases forecaster confidence in the probability that this coming winter will indeed be another La Nia winter. The forecast for precipitation is a 33% chance that they will be above normal and a 33% chance that they will end up below normal. The average monthly low temperature of 72.4 established a new monthly record, eclipsing the old record of 72.3 from 2018. Long-Range Weather Forecast 2023 for Places in Arizona Ajo, AZ Apache Junction, AZ Arizona City, AZ Avondale, AZ Avra Valley, AZ Benson, AZ Big Park, AZ Bisbee, AZ Buckeye, AZ Bullhead City, AZ Camp Verde, AZ Casa Grande, AZ Casas Adobes, AZ Catalina, AZ Catalina Foothills, AZ Cave Creek, Maricopa County, AZ Chandler, AZ Chinle, AZ Chino Valley, AZ The forecast for precipitation is a 36% chance that they will be above normal and a 31% chance that they will end up below normal. On your streaming device:Download 12News+ to your streaming device. The monthly average temperature of 89.1 is 3.0 ABOVE normal and ranks as the 5th warmest June on record. The average yearly temperature, through the end of August, of 73.5 is 1.0 above normal and ranks as the 6th warmest on record. Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 77 on the 7th to a low of 31 on the 2nd. 2022 monsoon season in Arizona expected to be above-normal - good news for state agriculture . The Climate Prediction Center forecasts for temperature a 36% chance that they will end up above normal and a 31% chance that they will end up below normal. Temperature extremes for the month ranged from a high of 95 on the 26th to a low of 33 on the 8th. Climate Predictions 6-10 Days 8-14 Day Climate Probability Official 30-Day Forecast The above maps are from the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center. So here is the breakdown If you want to fix your roof, this is the best month to do so just in-case feb/mar/apr become active again, Southern California Officially the Tucson International airport recorded 1.82", which is around eight-tenths of an inch below normal and ranks as the 48th driest Winter season on record. Geiger explained that the almanacs predictions come from a formula created by the first editor of the publication, who was a mathematician and an astronomer. HOT TOPIC: 2021-2022 Seasonal Weather Forecast Released For Southwestern United States; Detailed Maps and Discussion Within, November 29, 2021 Essentially, the formula uses sunspot activity andthe effect the moon has on the earth to be able to predict weather about two years in advance. Global Warming Begins at the Poles - Ends at the Poles 2022-2024. Yuck. Only In Your State reported that the state will be seeing some insane polar temperature swings this winter. Gilbert teen's dream comes true as he takes the field, Suspected drunk driver dies after crashing into Tempe bus stop, police say, Wet weather forces SRP to release water from Bartlett Dam, La Nina is here and it's not good news for Arizona's drought, Heat-related deaths hit historic high in 2021. Welcome back to the site after the holiday week. Phoenix Weather Forecast for November 2022 is based on . If you're looking forward to snow, mark January on your calendars. How Winter Fashion Has Changed in 100 Years (PHOTOS), Eerie Vintage Photos of People Battling the Flu, Democratic Republic of the Congo | Franais, State of Vatican City (Holy See) | Italiano. Youll definitely want to check out some of our favorite, We say absolutely! Toggle navigation. A warmer February is also possible from the mid-Atlantic states into the rest of the Southeast, Southern Plains westward into New Mexico and eastern Arizona. The Tucson International airport, which is the official recording spot in Tucson, recorded 1.27" which is around a third of an inch above normal and ranks as the 37th wettest December on record. One of the strongest thunderstorms of the month hit the airport on the evening of the 23rd with a wind gust of 76 mph. In central Arizona, its mild and fair, and sometimes rainy. The forecast panned out well with Spring 2022 coming in warmer and drier than normal. The Farmers' Almanac predicts winter will be wild in much of the United States, but pretty average in Utah. July climate data across southeast Arizona. It will modify the jet stream pattern over North America and the Pacific Ocean, extending its reach to the rest of the world. It's not . The state's smoky skies were caused by a wildfire in Arizona, but the National Weather service said Monday's smoke and heat will be gone Tuesday. Arizona weather in January 2024 The temperatures in Arizona in January are quite cold with temperatures between 48F and 66F, warm clothes are a must. February climate data and outlook across southeast Arizona. PHOENIX It's a wet start to 2022 across Arizona! The water year rainfall total 2.03" ranks as the 9th driest on record. Ninety-nine percent of the state is experiencing some level of drought with more than half of the state experiencing an Exceptional drought, which is the worst level. Mostly cloudy. Sorry, the location you searched for was not found. Hourly forecast for 08.02.2022. As we mentioned above, one of the best things to do in Arizona in the winter is camping and/or hiking, but of course, there are more! Example video title will go here for this video, Getting Reel | Ranking Marvel Phase 4 Movies. It begins just at the backend. This ranks as the 11th driest Spring on record. Rainfall amounts across the metro during the first three months of the hydrologic water year has ranged from 1.10" to 3.50". Not all risky days will have rain/snow. Tell us your thoughts in the comments section below, then check out how beautiful the Grand Canyon in winter is. This cold front brought a cooler air mass with morning lows on the 25th being in the upper 30's to mid 40's. 47.9 Degrees C is 118.2 degrees F. Wow! The Weather Companys primary journalistic mission is to report on breaking weather news, the environment and the importance of science to our lives. HOME > Outlook Maps >Seasonal Forecast Discussion. The December 2021 forecast went exactly as thought, word for word in both regions.